Service Plays Tuesday 07/07/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, JULY 7


NATIONAL LEAGUE


St. Louis (45-39) at Milwaukee (43-39)


The top two teams in the N.L. Central begin a three-game series at Miller Park, with the Cardinals handing the ball to Adam Wainwright (8-5, 3.32 ERA) and the Brewers countering with ace Yovani Gallardo (8-5, 2.75).


Both squads were idle Monday, and St. Louis comes in on a 4-1 roll after Sunday’s 10-1 wipeout of the Reds in Cincinnati, while the Brewers have dropped four of their last five, including Sunday’s 8-2 setback at the Cubs.


The Cardinals are on further upticks of 9-4 in divisional games, 12-5 against right-handed starters and 5-2 on Tuesday, but they have lost nine of their last 12 series openers and four of five after an off day. Milwaukee is on positive stretches of 16-6 in series openers, 21-9 against N.L. Central rivals and 20-8 versus winning clubs, but it has dropped 12 of 17 against right-handed starters.


The Brewers are 4-1 against the Cardinals this season and 11-3 in the last 14 series clashes dating back to last July. However, the visitor has taken 10 of the last 12 meetings, including five of six in 2009.


Wainwright is coming off a complete-game, 2-1 home victory over the Giants, allowing the run on six hits while striking out a season-high 12. The right-hander has given up just three earned runs in his last two starts covering 16 innings (1.69 ERA), but in his last three road starts, he’s surrendered 13 runs (all earned) in 20 innings (5.85 ERA). Still, he’s 5-1 with a 4.80 ERA in seven road outings, six of which St. Louis has won.


With Wainwright pitching, the Cardinals are on tears of 36-17 overall, 7-1 on the road, 6-1 against the N.L. Central and 6-1 on Tuesday. Wainwright is also 3-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 15 career appearances (eight starts) against the Brewers, including 1-1 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts this season, giving up a single run in a 1-0 home loss on May 16 and a single run in an 8-1 road win 10 days later.


Gallardo continued his incredible season on Wednesday, holding the Mets to a run on five hits in seven innings, and like Wainwright, he whiffed a season-high 12 batters. However, the Brewers were blanked and Gallardo suffered a 1-0 loss. He’s 1-2 in his last three starts despite a 2.08 ERA, and he’s given up three earned runs or fewer in 14 of his 16 starts this season, including the last seven in a row, posting a 2.00 ERA during this seven-game stretch.


The Brewers are 9-4 in Gallardo’s last 13 starts overall, 5-2 in his last seven at home, 6-1 in his last seven against divisional foes and 5-0 in his last five when opening a series. Gallardo is 4-3 with a 2.47 ERA in eight home starts this year, with the lone no-decision coming in the Brewers’ 1-0 victory over St. Louis on May 25 as he allowed two hits and walked four in eight innings. Despite that strong effort, he’s 0-1 with a 5.30 ERA in three lifetime starts versus the Redbirds.


Behind Wainwright, the Cardinals are on “over” runs of 6-2 overall, 11-1-1 on the road, 4-0 on Tuesday and 9-3-1 against the N.L. Central. Conversely, with Gallardo pitching, the “under” is on streaks of 20-8 overall, 4-1 at home and 9-4 against the N.L. Central.


As a team, Milwaukee is on “over” streaks of 5-2 overall, 5-1 on Tuesday and 5-1 in series openers, but the under is 9-4 in the Cards’ last 13 divisional contests and 4-1 in their last five after an off day.


ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE



AMERICAN LEAGUE


Texas (45-36) at L.A. Angels (46-35)


The battle for first place in the A.L. West continues at Angels Stadium, where the hosts send John Lackey (3-3, 4.70) to the mound opposite the Rangers’ Dustin Nippert, who is making his season debut in the big leagues.


Los Angeles ran its winning streak to three in a row, snapped Texas’ five-game run in the process and took over sole possession of first place in the West with Monday’s 9-4 blowout win. The Angels are on additional surges of 10-3 overall, 6-1 at home and 13-5 versus right-handed starters.


Despite falling last night, the Rangers are still on runs of 19-8 against the A.L. West and 35-17 on Tuesday. Additionally, they still have a 5-2 edge over the Angels in the season series, though the first six contests prior to Monday were played in Texas.


Nippert hasn’t pitched for Texas this season, but he posted a 2.55 ERA in minor-league rehab assignments. The right-hander, who was on the 60-day disabled list with a shoulder injury, went 3-5 with a 6.40 ERA in 20 appearances (six starts) with the Rangers last season.


Nippert faced the Angels three times in his career – all last year – going 0-1 with a 6.92 ERA. His one start versus the Halos came in August in Anaheim, and he yielded three runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings, walking just two and striking out seven but losing, 3-1.


Lackey has regained his ace-like form over his last two outings, holding the DBacks and Orioles to a combined three runs (two earned) and nine hits over 15 innings, walking just four while striking out 16. He got a no-decision in his team’s 2-1 win at Arizona then picked up the 5-2 home victory over Baltimore on Thursday.


The Angels have lost five of Lackey’s last six home starts, where he’s 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA in three contests this season. But otherwise behind the big right-hander, L.A. is on runs of 20-8 against A.L. West opponents, 8-1 on Tuesday and 16-5 in the second game of a series. However, Lackey is only 10-10 with a bloated 5.79 ERA in 28 career starts against the Rangers. He made his season debut in Texas on May 16, but got ejected after throwing just two pitches, the second of which beaned Rangers leadoff hitter Ian Kinsler.


For Texas, the “under” is on runs of 37-15-1 overall, 15-7 on the road, 23-9-1 against righty starters, 21-8-1 versus teams with a winning record and 14-3 in Game 2 of a series. Similarly, with Lackey pitching, Los Angeles is on “under” streaks of 4-1 at home and 5-1-1 on Tuesday. However, as a team, the Angels carry “over” trends of 5-1-1 overall, 10-4-1 at home and 10-3-1 against right-handed starters.


ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Phillies Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Braves. The surplus is 825 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

July 7, 2009

Hondo collected a big bunch of dead presidents last night when the A's were letter-perfect at Fenway Pahk, which inflated the wad to 275 stirnweisses.

Tonight, the Yankees over Baker looks like a piece of cake -- 10 units on Sabathia.
 

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Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at NY Mets

The Dodgers look to take advantage of a Mets team that is just 3-13 in its last 16 games as an underdog between +110 and +150. LA is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 7

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 14.616; Philadelphia (Happ) 14.451
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+140); Over
Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.018; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 13.497
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under
Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.315; Houston (Moehler) 15.027
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over
Game 907-908: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 14.788; Cubs (Dempster) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-110); N/A
Game 909-910: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.659; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.536
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+140); Over
Game 911-912: Washington at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.117; Colorado (Hammel) 16.370
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Over
Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 14.359; Arizona (Davis) 15.327
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-160); Over
Game 915-916: Florida at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.689; San Francisco (Zito) 16.754
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under
Game 917-918: Toronto at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczynski) 14.546; Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.168
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Over
Game 919-920: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 15.056; Detroit (Verlander) 14.213
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+210); Under
Game 921-922: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Eveland) 14.518; Boston (Beckett) 16.370
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-240); Under
Game 923-924: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 14.699; White Sox (Buehrle) 14.491
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+160); Over
Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.022; Minnesota (Baker) 15.542
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under
Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 15.844; LA Angels (Lackey) 17.761
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over
Game 929-930: Baltimore at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.501; Seattle (Bedard) 15.300
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under




WNBA Basketball Picks

Washington at Minnesota

The Lynx look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Eastern Conference. Minnesota is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 7

Game 651-652: San Antonio at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.998; Seattle 115.024
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 6; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2); Over
Game 653-654: Connecticut at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.681; Atlanta 111.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1 1/2; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1 1/2); Over
Game 655-656: Washington at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.503; Minnesota 113.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5; 163
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under
Game 657-658: Chicago at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.258; Sacramento 109.134
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 6 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6 1/2); Over
 

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Rated Picks

Rated GOTY & BP

MLB:
#902 *GoTY* Phil Phillies RL -1.5 +140
#924 *BP* Chic WhiteSox RL -1.5 +120

We normally stay away from parlays, but as in the NFL we release a 2 team parlay (7-1 record), and we recommend playing the 2 releases separate as usual, but also lay a side bet as a 2 teamer on these plays.
 

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Halfbets

Boston RL –120 for 4 units (Best Bet)

Looking at this matchup we are getting Boston of a bad loss at home yesterday to Oakland and I see them winning this game big today with their ace on the hill in Josh Beckett. Beckett (9-3 3.67 ERA) has been great at home and in night games this year. At home he is 4-0 2.87 ERA and in night games are 7-1 2.41 ERA. Everland the replacement for Braden has been a terrible pitcher for Oakland and the reason he got lifted from the starting lineup and has not started in the majors in since May 1st. This season he pitched 5 games giving up 21 runs in 24.1 innings pitched. Boston has feasted on lefties at home in past seasons 27-12 at home against lefties and are 91-42 their last 133 home games which gives them a 68% winning percentage at home their last 2 years. Boston after a loss is 20-12 this season and while Boston is having some trouble staying healthy as of late I see a big performance from their ace today at home. Boston is 26-13 at home this year while Oakland is 16-25 away from home and I see a blowout today in a good spot for a Boston win.
 

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Lou Panelli

20* MLB Detroit over 8.5(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Yankees over 9
10* MLB Toronto over 9
10* MLB Colorado -150
10* MLB Phillies -145
10* MLB Seattle -145
 

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igz1 sports

Tuesday Card
Monday Recap: 2-0 MLB

MLB
3* Under 9 (-110) San Diego (Correia) vs Arizona (Davis)
3* Under 8.5 (-110) Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw) vs NY Mets (Pelfrey)
3* Under 8 (-110) Atlanta (Vazquez) vs Chicago Cubs (Dempster)

Good Luck
 

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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox - Tuesday July 7, 2009 8:10 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 9 (+100)

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Cleveland Indians @ Chicago Whitesox (Tuesday @ 8:10pm est). These two teams and pitchers have already hooked up this year. Sowers just faced the Whitesox at home on July 1st and lost 2-6 and much like the revenge game we took for Washburn yesterday against the Orioles, it is in that same grain we take Sowers who has revenge against this team who he faced less than a week ago. Sowers gave up 11 hits in 6 innings and lost 2-6. I do not see him being hit that much today as he likely goes 5 to 6 strong innings and gives up 3 runs or so as he looks to keep pace with Mark Buehrle who is typically dynamite at home. Buehrle is 8-2 on the year with a 3.09 era and he faced Cleveland earlier this year as well and lost 0-4 on the road. He gave up 4 runs in 7 innings in that contest and I look to him to get his share of revenge here as well. Hence, I believe this game likely dips under the posted total as the Under is 4-1 in Sower's last 5 road starts and the Under is 9-1 when Buehrle faces a team in the AL Central.
 

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Dr Big Daddy (free return from yesterdays loss on Colorado RL)

10* Detroit Tigers RL (-1.5)

if you have any of their 12* games please post. red hot lately especially Coglye. thanks in advance
 

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SCOTT FERRALL'S FREE PICKS:

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Dodgers (Kershaw)

METS (PELFREY) +125 (1)



Baltimore (Guthrie)

SEATTLE (BEDARD) -135 (2)



FLORIDA (JOHNSON) -125 (3)

San Francisco (Zito)
 

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Wayne Root

Chairman----Chicago Cubs
Millionaire----Minnesota Twins
Insiders------Houston Astros
 

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